Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.313885 3.877383 4.477265 5.160295 5.913307 6.715095 7.630287
2024-10-20 2.503504 3.276826 4.161828 5.236110 6.491394 7.898829 9.582921
2024-10-27 1.865598 2.730056 3.790640 5.155289 6.832295 8.794908 11.233523
2024-11-03 1.495426 2.426352 3.641960 5.285693 7.390565 9.938555 13.197131
2024-11-10 1.202851 2.161074 3.489280 5.368726 7.864455 10.974256 15.048323
2024-11-17 0.921345 1.851009 3.223895 5.258239 8.057604 11.643402 16.447991
2024-11-24 0.698152 1.578932 2.966724 5.118011 8.179681 12.202526 17.703404
2024-12-01 0.547381 1.390048 2.801576 5.080707 8.421454 12.907642 19.147889
2024-12-08 0.422706 1.215759 2.631074 5.010725 8.599504 13.518921 20.471430
2024-12-15 0.370471 1.169458 2.662191 5.243876 9.213497 14.730367 22.609555
2024-12-22 0.299493 1.064310 2.576142 5.280348 9.533387 15.538376 24.217711
2024-12-29 0.270835 1.047678 2.644583 5.566398 10.230748 16.884692 26.576382
2025-01-05 0.235272 1.007256 2.667973 5.785415 10.845369 18.145987 28.869426
2025-01-12 0.192761 0.935203 2.621159 5.881027 11.272653 19.151208 30.832110
2025-01-19 0.143805 0.824344 2.480001 5.799784 11.416057 19.747227 32.235197
2025-01-26 0.119475 0.779322 2.468517 5.944560 11.918883 20.873622 34.397181
2025-02-02 0.096171 0.726279 2.431029 6.036265 12.334865 21.876494 36.396464
2025-02-09 0.067481 0.633334 2.287439 5.917018 12.396859 22.350142 37.646466
2025-02-16 0.044725 0.544240 2.135060 5.764984 12.392189 22.716809 38.742376
2025-02-23 0.031014 0.484890 2.044716 5.724596 12.569573 23.358171 40.240140
2025-03-02 0.020095 0.425635 1.941973 5.648570 12.678709 23.892570 41.585757
2025-03-09 0.017353 0.423224 1.997088 5.902070 13.368278 25.336245 44.282972
2025-03-16 0.011988 0.388631 1.952840 5.941713 13.680495 26.195472 46.128260